The 2020-21 Premier League Sack Race Odds and Predictions

Which manager will leave their job first in the 2020-21 season and in so doing win the Premier League sack race? Get full odds and predictions below

I’ve covered quite a few of the outright markets most which have been the more desirable achievements such a the 2020-21 Premier League champions, highest scoring team and top goal scorer but this is one that all clubs and managers would rather avoid!

“The Sack Race” as it is generally referred to are actually the odds being offered on the first Premier League manager to leave their current position for any reason e.g. not just being fired due to poor results and so it does open up the possibilities when betting on some longer odds.

Last season was, by Premier League standards, a fairly quiet one with only 5 teams choosing to change manager, the lowest number of changes during a season for the past 15 years. There was, however, a relatively early managerial departure in the form of Javi Garcia who was sacked by Watford on 7th September.

It is perhaps understandable that the sides tipped to be fighting relegation are those who are most likely to make a change in leadership in search of better results but this season there are also some tantalising odds on a few of the bigger names managing in the Premier League.

Another major factor in this year’s odds is that fact the transfer window is not due to close until 5th October, 4 rounds into the Premier League season, meaning that a slow start to proceedings may prompt clubs to make a swift decision to axe their boss and still give the incoming manager time to reshape the squad they’ve inherited.

Roy Hodgson – Crystal Palace

Palace endured a torrid time in the closing part of last season and it’s entirely possible that the Eagle’s board will look for new blood pretty early on in the season if Hodgson is unable to turn things around sharpish.

A key factor could also be the potential departure of Wilfred Zaha not only because he is the club’s best player but because if he finally does leave he will likely generate a large transfer fee that can be re-invested in the squad. How much of a say Hodgson will have in the spending of those funds or whether the board would rather give a younger/long term manager a chance to refresh the side remains to be seen.

You can back Hodgson to be the first Premier League manager to leave his role in 2020-21 @9.0

David Moyes – West Ham

Moyes was one of last season’s managerial appointments following the departure of Manuel Pellegrini from the Hammer’s dugout. However, the former Everton and Manchester United manager has failed to win the fans over at West Ham where he is, of course, spending a second spell in charge. A couple of decent wins towards the end of last season ensured that he achieved the bare minimum of Premier League survival but you would imagine that the club will be looking for more in 2020-21.

The fact that Moyes’ contract expires at the end of the season would also make him relatively cheap to dispose of and if the West Ham board spot a better, long term option over the coming months then they may decide to act fast and bring their man in to replace Moyes sooner rather than later.

The Hammer’s also have a very tricky start to the season with games against Man City, Liverpool, Spurs, Arsenal, Leicester and Wolves making up 6 of their first 7 league games. As such it’s entirely possible that West Ham will once again find themselves in and around the relegation zone and you can back Moyes to be the first man out of the door at a very generous 9.0.

Steve Bruce – Newcastle

Bruce was many people’s favourite to win last year’s sack race but his Newcastle team enjoyed a fairly decent season before failing to win in their last 6 matches. Still, there is always plenty of drama up in the North-East and this is highlighted by the fact that Newcastle have made more mid-season managerial changes (19) than any other club in the Premier League’s history which is pretty good going considering that they spent several years not even in the top flight!

This season’s off-field antics include the possibility of a major takeover which then evaporated and the ongoing battle between the fans and club’s owners. It’s certainly never a dull moment up on Tyneside and you can back Bruce to be the first manager to leave his club @9.0

Pep Guardiola – Man City

Last season you could get odds of 100/1 on Guardiola being the first man to leave his managerial position at Man City but times have changed. The mega-rich investors have watched as Guardiola’s team first lost their Premier League title and then threw away a golden opportunity for the holy grail that is the Champions League.

City are still very pleasing on the eye to neutral but that is not likely to buy their manager much time if it looks like they will go another season without adding at least the Premier League title or European glory.

Guardiola is also not renowned for doing rebuilding jobs at the clubs he’s managed in the past and this is very much what is required with this City team who need a defensive shake-up and the replacement of several ageing stars. Of course, If Raheem Sterling continues to miss open goals then Pep may just decide to take matters into his own hands You can bet on him to either be fired or throw the towel in at odds of 17.0

Frank Lampard – Chelsea

Lampard makes an appearance on this list purely because Chelsea’s owner Roman Abramovich has shown over the last couple of decades that he is not a patient man when it comes to seeing an immediate return on his investments. Expectations at Chelsea were fairly low last year given their transfer ban so despite a fractured finish to the season and a disappointing end to their challenge for silverware in the FA Cup and Europe you would imagine that Lampard came out ahead.

However, this summer has already seen some extravagant spending and that looks likely to continue meaning that the pressure on Lampard to deliver trophies will certainly be on. Let’s not forget that these are still very early days in the management career of the midfield legend and he was only given a 3-year contract last summer suggesting that the board are hedging their bets on whether he is the man to lead them back to glory.

Another fan favourite, Roberto Di Matteo, won the Champions League and FA Cup in his first season in charge of the Blues and followed that up the following Autumn by winning the Premier League Sack Race. You can bet on Lampard to follow a similar path at a very generous 26.0

Marco Biesla – Leeds

Biesla’s inclusion on this list is primarily due to the fact that the man who led Leeds back to the Premier League following a 16-year exile doesn’t currently have a contract to continue into next season!

Just last week Leeds United Chief Exec Angus Kinnear suggested a new deal was “very, very close” but until he actually signs on the dotted line there is the chance that Biesla may choose to move on. Indeed the legendary Argentine coach has never spent a third season in charge of a club side during his 30-year managerial career so I think Leeds fans are quite right to be nervous about the prospect of losing their main man in the coming weeks and you can back him to be first out of the door @13.0

Other notable odds

The other 2 managers of the newly promoted teams Fulham and WBA are hovering at similar prices to be the first to leave their positions. Scott Parker (@13.0) and Slaven Bilic (@15.0) will know that in their quest for Premier League survival it’s not uncommon for clubs in their position to replace a manager mid-season despite the good work they’ve done in getting them there in the first place.

Dean Smith of Aston Villa may have guided his team to safety on the last day of the season but you can still back him to not survive long in his role during 2020-21 with odds @10.0

Jose Mourinho is yet to win over some of the fans at Spurs with his style of football. He comes with the reputation as a man who knows how to deliver silverware and if it looks as though Spurs might go yet another season without any then his chances of surviving in his role will also shorten. You can back him to be first to leave @17.0

Brendan Rodgers and Leicester endured a torrid end to last season. There is always the feeling that Rodgers is a bit of a  pony and despite having had a very good initial 12 months in charge of the midlands club, if poor results carry on to next season then he could find himself facing the axe @21.0

Premier League 2020-21 Top 4 Finish Predictions and Odds

Odds and Predictions on the race for a Top 4 finish in the 2020-21 Premier League featuring analysis of Arsenal, Spurs, Chelsea and Manchester United

With some Premier League sides playing their first rounds of pre-season friendlies this weekend ahead of the big kick-off on 12th September, we continue our look at some of the outright markets that are available via William Hill.

Today’s focus will be on a top 4 finish and as with last season the battle for a Champions League spot is likely to be a tense one in 2020-21. The odds on Man City and Liverpool, the 2 sides that have dominated the league these past few seasons to be in there are incredibly short at 1.05 and 1.08 respectively and it would indeed be a massive upset if neither side were to finish in the top 4 again this season.

Instead, we will concentrate on the other teams slugging it out for what are likely to be the 2 remaining spots.

Manchester United

2020 has already seen a dramatic turnaround in United’s fortunes resulting in them finishing in the top 4 of the Premier League when at times last season that looked an unlikely prospect. Indeed, United sat in 8th place at Christmas 2019, level on points with Newcastle and 7 adrift of a Champions League spot.

Since then they’ve won 41 points from their final 20 games, a return that put them comfortably in 3rd place well ahead of the chasing pack of clubs mentioned in the remainder of this blog.

There have been a couple of false dawns since the glory years of Sir Alex Ferguson but this time things feel a little different at United and particularly in attack they look capable of mixing it with the very top clubs.

One of the key factors in United’s bid to retain Champions League football could well be how they handle a congested fixture list that will often see them playing midweek and weekend matches. Solskjaer was particularly unwilling to rotate his squad towards the end of last season but surely United will need to demonstrate far greater depth in that regard if they are to challenge on multiple fronts this coming season.

Prediction: If United can continue their form, then a top 4 finish in the 2020-21 Premier League looks likely. To date, they haven’t made any sizeable moves within the transfer market but I would expect them to look to strengthen their squad in several key areas to ensure they can compete for an extended period.

Odds: You can back Manchester United for a top 4 finish in the 2020-21 Premier League  @1.40. Given their strong calendar year to date that looks to be a reasonable price for reasonable returns.


Chelsea’s bid to maintain a top 4 finish in the 2020-21 Premier League is based around big, early transfer spends with the club having already brought in the likes of Timo Werner and Hakim Ziyech while also pushing hard to complete deals for Kai Havertz and Ben Chilwell. Such acquisitions would certainly strengthen an already exciting young squad and the West London club will hope that in time they can return to challenging for higher honours.

Time then is very much the key consideration for this Chelsea season. How long will it take their foreign imports to settled into the Premier League and how much of it will Frank Lampard be afforded if his expensively assembled squad don’t hit the ground running?

The end of last season saw Chelsea manage a top 4 finish but equally, there were some humiliating loses along the way in all competitions that highlight some of the defensive deficiencies that remain in this squad. In what is such a short pre-season, those defensive worries must be the priority for Lampard to correct but their involvement in the later stages of the Champions League means that they won’t have many opportunities to test out new players and/or tactics ahead of the Premier League season kicking off.

Prediction: Chelsea are certainly going to be one of the best teams to watch in the 2020-21 Premier League season and you would imagine with the amount of attacking flair they possess that they will be in and around the top 4. However, their slump in form towards the end of last season coupled with a propensity for conceding soft goals must be addressed.

Odds: Chelsea’s odds to finish in the top 4 of the Premier League 2020-21 @1.61 are tempting given their outlay on transfers which is seeing them collect some of the top young talents across Europe. If they can balance attack and defence and improve their home form then they could be very good odds.


A bet on Arsenal to finish in the top 4 of the Premier League used to be a banker with the Gunners completing the feat in 20 consecutive seasons between 1997 and 2016. However, since then they haven’t managed a top 4 finish and last season saw them record just 14 league victories, their lowest return in the Premier League since it moved to a 20 team format.

Despite the above statistics, there is renewed hope at the Emirates that the 2020-21 Premier League season could see Arsenal turn things around. In fact, looking at the league table from the 1st January 2020, Arsenal would be in 4th place ahead of the likes of Chelsea and Spurs and of course, they finished off last season in spectacular fashion with an FA Cup win that has certainly lifted the mood.

In Mikel Arteta, they look to have secured one of the most promising young managers going and it will be interesting to see just how much he can achieve in his first full season in charge. He already seems to have done enough to convince star striker Aubameyang to commit his future to the club and Arsenal are also pursuing defensive reinforcements to overcome some of the problems they faced in that particular department last year.

Prediction: One thing is for sure, Arsenal will be a lot closer to a top 4 Premier League finish in the 2020-21 season than they were last year. A rethink of their tactics, as well as some astute signings, should improve their overall defensive record and their ability to win points away from home.

Odds: Given the momentum at Arsenal, odds @4.0 on them to claim a top 4 finish in the 2020-21 Premier League are really good value for money.


Another side that in recent years have been top 4 regulars in the Premier League are Tottenham Hotspur. While 2019-20 was a year of significant turmoil in North London, there were again signs that new manager Jose Mourinho was turning things around. Post lockdown, Spurs lost just once and finished with 18 points from their final 9 matches, the 3rd best record in the restarted Premier League.

Mourinho has now embarked on a mission to strip out some of the undesirables in his squad while strengthening in key areas including central midfield and defence. The acquisition of Southampton’s Højbjerg looks to be a smart one and will undoubtedly improve Spurs defensively while simultaneously unleashing the talent they still possess upfront. Unlike most of the other clubs playing in Europe, Spurs have decided to play 3 pre-season friendlies as Mourinho looks to impress his methods on the Spurs squad.

The fact of the matter remains that Spurs still have the quality in their squad to challenge for a top 4 position in the Premier League this season and if Son and Kane, in particular, can remain fit then there is no reason to believe that they can’t return to the Champions League.

Prediction: Mourinho has only ever once failed to reach the top 4 at the end of a full Premier League season in charge. Keeping star players fit, getting the most out of last seasons big-money signings in Lo Celso and NDombele and bringing in defensive reinforcements will be key for Spurs if they are to return to the big time in 2020-21.

Odds: Like their North London rivals, Spurs are good value @4.5 to gate crash the current top 4 in the 2020-21 Premier League season.

Other notable odds

Wolves – The Midlands club have been threatening the top 4 ever since they returned to the Premier League bankrolled by some serious money. They faded towards the end of last season and I would expect there to be a little bit of shakeup during the closed season to keep them fresh and firing. Again, they will be very difficult to beat and have the game to take points off the big clubs around them. You can back them to finally reach the Champions League positions @7.0

Leicester – looked like a shoo-in for a top 4 finish last season before enduring a retched run-in that saw them win just 2 out of their final 9 fixtures. A couple of injuries to key players didn’t help and they now face a struggle to hang on to some of their first XI as the big clubs circle. It’ll be a tough ask to emulate last year let alone improve on it but you can bet on them to do so @7.5

Everton – There has been big investment in the Everton squad in recent years with the aim that the Toffees could finally break back into the Premier League’s top 4. The recruitment of Carlo Ancelotti is a real coup but this is surely his greatest managerial challenge following some woeful transfer business in recent years. Clearing out some of those wastes of money and bringing in the players for his system will be key in this transfer window. If Ancelotti gets it right then Everton will certainly move up the table and you can back them for a top 4 finish @11.0 

Southampton – The real dark horses for a top 4 finish in the 2020-21 Premier League are surely the Saints. Ralph Hasenhüttl has done a great job on the South Coast and his side took an impressive 18 points from their final 9 games. There are signs that Southampton will once again be dipping into the transfer market and pulling out some diamonds from the rough, a tactic that has seen them recruit many of the top players in the league. You can back them at long odds of @25.0 to finish in the top 4.

Premier League 2020-21 Top Goalscorer Predictions and Odds

Predictions and odds on the 2020-21 Premier League Top Goalscorer including analysis of Kane, Aubameyang, Salah, Sterling and Werner.

One of the biggest and most popular outright markets for any Premier League season is for the top goalscorer and with so many high profile names to choose from, 2020-21 isn’t any different.

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Premier League 2020-21 Lowest Scoring Team Predictions & Odds

Analysis, Predictions and odds on who will be the lowest scoring team in the Premier League 2020-21 season

If the odds on the highest scoring team in the Premier League in 2020-21 were a little one-sided then those on the lowest scoring team are far more tightly grouped and backing the right side(s) could net you some nice end of season profits.

In fact, a bet across multiple teams might be just the way to go considering the generous odds on offer and the number of teams who could potentially finish as the lowest scorers of the Premier League 2020-21.

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